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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2011/06/14 Item 07 Attachment EIR J14 - 4.14 - Housing and Population - 19 May 2011uIVI~',„ III uIVI~' III"°~ ~I',~~ UI„III ry9,w W IIIM~~ ~„uM ~'i~ VM~~ IILI I III ii ~'III""' VI„IV IIL ~''t, III m il',~~ IIIM~~ ~ ....~ .~V~II".:11111' u~~"~ 'w,ll' ull:.i~ ~~;~~II'V~IIII.~,~w II~~~.~II`,,u 4.14.1 Existing Environmental Setting According to most recent San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) population estimate, the total population of the City of Chula Vista, as of January 1, 2009, was 233,108. According to the most recent U.S. Census data available, as assimilated by SANDAG, 173,556 people occupied the City of Chula Vista as of April 1, 2000. The population of the City grew by approximately 34 percent in that nine-year period. In comparison, the City grew by 28 percent in the ten year time period between 1990 and 2000. SANDAG has projected that the City of Chula Vista's population will increase to a total of approximately 267,427 by 2020, approximately 289,044 by 2030, and approximately 317,583 by 2040. This is a population increase of approximately 83 percent between 2000 and 2040. The most recent SANDAG housing unit estimate identifies the number of housing units in the City of Chula Vista, as of January 1, 2009, as 77,787 units. According to the most recent U.S. Census data available, as assimilated by SANDAG, 59,495 housing units existed in the City of Chula Vista as of April 1, 2000. The number of housing units in the City grew by approximately 31 percent in those nine years. In comparison, between 1990 and 2000, the housing stock increased by approximately 19 percent. The vacancy rate was 3.0 percent as of April 1, 2000 and 5.3 percent as of January 1, 2008. SANDAG has projected that the number of housing units in Chula Vista will increase to a total of 88,185 units by 2020, 94,858 units by 2030, and 103,208 units by 2040. This is an increase of approximately 73 percent between 2000 and 2030. Regulatory Setting All residential development must comply with the applicable statutes, as outlined in Title 19 of the Chula Vista Municipal Code. Alsq the Housing Element of the Chula Vista General Plan Update (2005) requires that residential development with 50 or more dwelling units adhere to the guidelines of the Affordable Housing Program (AHP. The AHP requires projects of 50 housing units or more to allot ten percent of the units for low- and moderate-income household (five percent for low-income and five percent for moderate-income). The City requires each developer to formulate, review with staff, and adopt a specific program and agreement which delineates how and when the affordable units will be provided, including timing of compliance, intended subsidies, income/rent restrictions, and methods to verify compliance. Such affordable housing may be made on-site or through alternative methods, including off-site projects and in- lieu financial contributions. In order to guarantee the provision of affordable housing opportunities, the City requires that a specific AHP that is consistent with the Housing Element of the Chula Vista General Plan be prepared. The AHP is implemented through an Affordable Housing Agreement between the City and the applicant. 4.14.2 Thresholds of Significance According to Appendix G of the CEQA Guidelines, impacts to housing and population would be significant if the proposed project results in the following: mm Induce substantial population growth in an area, either directly (for example, by proposing new homes and businesses) or indirectly (for example, through extension of roads or other infrastructure); ~~~u Displace substantial numbers of existing housing, necessitating the construction of replacement housing elsewhere; or Otay Valley Quarry Reclamation Plan Amendment Page 4.14-1 Environmental Impact Report (EIR) DRAFT: March 2011; FINAL: June 2011 uIVI~',„ III uIVI~' L.~'II~~' UI„III ry9,w W IIIM~~ ~„uM ~'i~ VM~~ IILI I III ii ~'III""' VI„IV IIL ~''t, III m il',~~ IIIM~~ ~~~u Displace substantial numbers of people, necessitating the construction of replacement housing elsewhere 4.14.3 Impact Analysis The proposed project consists of the reclamation of the Otay Valley Quarry and does not propose any physical or regulatory changes that would remove a restriction to or encourage population growth in an area. Reclamation actions developed in accordance with the proposed Reclamation Plan Amendment primarily address surface stabilization, revegetation, and aesthetic enhancements such that the site could be used for future uses as allowed under the City General Plan and Zoning Ordinance. The proposed project does not propose new homes or businesses and would not extend roads or other infrastructure to accommodate local or regional growth. The project would periodically add jobs to the area associated with reclamation activities; however, the addition of jobs would be temporary, and no permanent jobs or residential units would occur as a result of project implementation. Impacts would therefore be less than significant. Implementation of the proposed project would not result in the displacement of any housing. All physical changes resulting from the proposed project would occur on property that consists of an aggregate quarry and associated equipment and structures. No impact would result. The proposed project would not displace people or require the construction of replacement housing. No impact would result. 4.14.4 Level of Significance Before Mitigation There are no significant impacts to housing and population that would result from the implementation of the Otay Valley Quarry Reclamation Plan Amendment 4.14.5 Mitigation Measures No mitigation measures would be required. 4.14.6 Level of Significance After Mitigation The project would not result in significant impacts associated with housing and population, and no mitigation is required. Otay Valley Quarry Reclamation Plan Amendment Page 4.14-2 Environmental Impact Report (EIR) DRAFT: March 2011; FINAL: June 2011