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Home My WebLink About2009/12/15 Item 20B .:=Ere M ?e::> \':S \;;;>./15/;>-009. AI No.2 5 I 12/10/09 MTS Budget . Operating budget impacted by- . Lower than anticipated fare revenue (8% below FY 2010 budgeted) . Lower than anticipated TDA and TransNet revenue (11.1 % below FY 2010 budgeted) Projected FY 2010 Operating Shortfall = $12.9 million Projected FY 2011 Operating Shortfall = $14.4 million Plan for balancing FY 2010 budget includes use of $12.6 million in shifts from the Capital Program. . Staff directed to evaluate service to provide $7 million in subsidy savings 1 AI No. 25, 12/10/09 Background November 5, 2009: Budget Development Committee adopts strategy that looks specifically at Sunday service but maintains most services six days/week. November 12, 2009: Board authorizes today's public hearing and concurs with BOG decision not to pursue another fare increase at this time. Many alternatives reviewed (fare increases, weekday cuts, full route cuts, etc.) March 2009 considered $5 million across the board network cuts that weren't implemented Weekday cuts would affect more commuters, require more miles cut per dollar saved than weekends Sunday service proposal developed through use of Weekend Service Analysis: new, scaled-down network preserves existing routes Man-Sat some minor frequency, trip, span reductions Man-Sat Weekend Service Analysis . Every trip on every route counted, both Saturday & Sunday - 2,566 hours of on-board counts . Detailed trip- and stop-level data now available . Passengers surveyed on how they use the system: Medical Sho in Recreation Religious , ~. . eeoe ~TS , ' --~-- - - ---- - - ----- ------- 2 AI No. 25 J 12/10/09 Why Sunday? . Lowest number of passengers . Highest percentage of flexible trips (shopping, recreation, etc.) . Lowest farebox recovery ratio: fewer service cuts required for same subsidy savings . Concentration of ridership in midday . Avoids cutting any routes entirely . Easier to rebuild system when budget improves . Retains most regular riders (passholders) I , I Q~S' eeoe: L- .~ -_ _ ...___ ____ .___-'u__ Annual System-wide Ridership """" ~ [] Weekday . Saturday . Sunday Why Sunday? System-wide Daily Ridership ]50,000 300,000 28Z,950 250,000 200,QOO f64,646 150,000 Iii 100,000 50,000 Weekday Saturday Sunday , I i Q~S' eeoe, ~Ii~ L______ _ ___ _ ..__ ____~u _ 3 AI No.2 5 I 12/10/09 Sunday Network Development . $7.0 million subsidy target established for service cuts . Policy 42 requires analysis based on productivity and passengers - not trip type or anecdotal data . Data from Weekend Service analysis mapped in GIS . Segments with most ridership prioritized for service . Base system of routes laid out with 60 minute frequency and a reduced span of 7am-7pm. Nearby and overlapping segments consolidated - Routes structured to mirror existing routes where poss. Minor route changes made to cover high ridership areas : Q,TS' eeoe I I ~~ Ln.__ __. _~__ ~ _ __.n _ _ - .- '- Sunday Network Development (cont'd) . Frequency added (eg. 60 minute to 30 minute) in highest ridership areas to avoid overcrowding, poor reliability . Span added in areas with more demand for early or late service (eg. Trolley service) . Some final changes made using comments received from passengers . Other considerations... . Available travel alternatives - Title VI analysis . System network connectivity , ~.....~. eeoe I I ",!' .ft,' i;7 , '~ 8 I L........-___ _ __ __~ ___ _ _____ _ __ ____ 4 , LEGEND Proposed Transit Service -BusRoutes -TrolleyRoutes . TrolIeySotiom Current Sunday Bus Boardlngs '_15 :::=J16-30 031.50 051-15 076-100 0101150 1]2!1151-300 _301500 _500.1,000 B"I,ooo " , ~..... A AI No. 25 J 12/10/09 S"HonnI-16lMM~ :J tF .-...:..... ~"jj""'" SUNDAY BUS RIDERSHIP ~ ~ ~ By Half-Mile Grid "" l.EGEND aOARDlNGS lbylllt,....,o:tlonltr;1nsilctnMr) O~~~op r.!I. NOlw.thinlI4.ml1! g 01 Proposed Stop , '- A ~:~$ ~. ..... I. ~ 1 SUNDAY BUS RIDERSHIP By Half-Mile Grid 5 AI No. 25/ 12/10/09 Challenges . Some people do work on Sundays . Passengers accessing religious services . Truly transit dependent have limited travel options . No trips are 'discretionary' although some are flexible . Even for flexible trips, Sunday is the only day for some people to run errands i Q~S' eeoo I -?"IIII\~ 11 I '------- - ___ - ~ - _~__ ~_ ~ - _~ - I Communication and Outreach . 18 Events held at transit facilities Nov. 15 - Dec. 5 Press release generated media coverage Received nearly 344 written/on-line surveys . 30% identified Sunday as their most flexible day Reached several thousand passengers Handouts explaining proposals & budget issues . I nformation on MTS website . Comments also collected via hotline, mail, e-mail . Notice of public hearing in newspaper . 110,000 printed notices for vehicles I Q~S' eeoo, ~~ 1______ _~__ ___'2 6 AI No. 25, 12/10/09 18 Local Outreach Events Comments Received: 347 Total - 120 by Telephone Hotline - 113 by E-mail - 8 via MTS Customer Service - 93 from survey comment field - 3 petitions received - 10 by other means All comments summarized for Board and provided at hearing today. i Q~S' eeoe, Q " , --- - -- --~_~__ ____J 7 AI No.2 5 J 12/10/09 '~~S:F3\J~RY:26'1~O'SERVIG~E €AANGE P.ROI:'O$A~~ ~ $7.0 Million in Service Adjustments Routes Affected: WEEKDAYS: 12 bus routes, 1 Trolley line SATURDAYS: 16 bus routes, 1 Trolley line SUNDAYS: All bus routes and Trolley lines One bus route (880) has major changes I i ~TS' 5800 .',,,;:1 I - --- - - -~~- --- ----- - - --- -0"'1>. '" ~, ~ W!'EKDAYS: ~... 1.., ~---jf ~'':''.' ~~"' x; ,"<1'.. :..~.~ ~'t -,i"..'", Frequency Reduction 2 (Dwtn-North Park): Middays only 20 (1-15 Corridor Exp): Middays only 916/917 (Oak Park): 30 > 60 Other Reductions 50 Reduce trips at ends of peaks 860 Discontinue last NB trip 992 (Airport): end service at 11 pm Blue Line: Reduce peaks, late nights Modified Route 2 Move downtown terminal 30 No service downtown after 7pm 210 Move downtown terminal 854 (La Mesa-San Carlos) 874/875 No Granite Hills after 6pm 880 Serve downtown, not UTC 929 Terminate dwtn at City College Discontinue All Service None Q~TS' 5800 I ,~ . ~_ _~___~__~~~ ~ __, __ __ .1 8 AI No.2 5 I 12/10/09 "'"' - -~ .I ,.; - "'" ~ -.... ~ <> , :S~TURp~~:~~ ~:: '-g,;,.C;J: ~.;. ...:w,:" ~L.-:'t^- }~,'W, ~ ~';" :,",,_,,",,:;'~..!; 'iI.. Frequency Reduction 2 (Dwtn-North Park): 15> 20 7 (Dwtn-Univ Av-La Mesa): 12 > 15 8/9 (Old Town-Mission/P.B.): 20 > 30 10 (Oid Town-Univ Av): 15> 20 11 (Skyline-Dwtn-SDSU): 20 > 30 15 (Dwtn-ECB-SDSU): 15> 20 20 (1-15 Corridor Exp): 30> 60 27 (P.B.-Kearny Mesa): 60 > 90 88 (Hotel Circle): 30 > 60 105 (Clairemont): 30 > 60 874/875 (EI Cajon): 30 > 60 967/968 (Nan City): 60 > 120 992 (Airport): 15 > 30 Modified Route 10 No service east of 15 Fwy 27 No service east of Convoy St 30 Old Town-VA only (no Dwtn, UTe) 41 End route at UTC (no UCSD) 105 No svc north of Clairemont Sq 874/875 No service to Granite Hills Other Reductions 955 Fewer early AM., evening trips 992 End service at 11 pm Discontinue All Service None i ~TS' eeoe I I ~~;:f J - - ------------------- --- _.' S -. r... ." ., . ,- ',' - S...WNQA..'(---=-.fr~..~,,1,'ii.i,~ ,~,' ~~ ,,'\.. ,<>. 'w t~)":1: .:.t ...."" -. .. Frequency Reduction 19routes: 2 3 4 7 8/9 10 13 15 2028 44 815 874/875 901 932 961 992 Orange Green Span Reduction 33 routes: 1 2 3 4 5 7 8/9 10 11 13 15 20 28 30 35 41 44 105 120 815 864 874/875 901 929 932 933/934 936 955 961 992 Blue Orange Green Route Modification 7 routes: 2 13 15 20 35 44 709 Shortened Routes (large reduction) 17routes: 1 3 78/9 10 11 30 41 105 120 864 874/875 901 929 932 933/934 961 Discontinue Sunday Service 26 routes: 6 27 88 115 701 704 705 712 832 833 845 848 854 855 856 872 904 905 916/917 921 923 928 962 965 967 968 I QTS' eeoel I ~~ I - - -- ------- - ---- -- --~~- -- -- - -- 9 AI No. 25, 12/10/09 Impacts of Proposed Changes ",,~ekda.L Saturclay ~~~.f~' 287,950 f 164,64E~j 131,875 : =----..-----.-=-__",1 ...~ _"... .,....' " ....=-<."""" 73,139,300,. 8,561,592 i 7,780,625 7,140; 31,288L_~1,872 1,813,560f 1 ,626.976l'7~7s0.625 1,098'1.. .4.:.32~L_ 32,7,18 ,- . .~..~.. :;r.-.....=... "-'" 278,892' 224.900 I 1,930,352 0.4%1 2.6% I: 24.8% 3.4%1 106% I' 49.7% 2.8% 'I 11.4% I' 50.5% Current Daily Ridership Annual Riders Daily Affected Annual Riders Daily Lost Annual % Ridership Lost % Miles Discontinued % Hours Discontinued : ~,TS' eeoo I l 7/111~ ______ _ __ __ _ __ _ __ _ ~_19 _ I Sunday Religious Services During the Sunday morning & midday periods, there are 1,837 ons and 1,581 offs at stops within %.mile of religious facilities that will no longer be served. This represents just over 2% of all Sunday ridership. 77.5% of religious facilities currently served within a half mile would still be served. : Q,TS' eeoo : I ~/r.~ . _ ~ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _~__ _ ___ _ __2~__ j 10 AI No. 25, 12/10/09 Major Service Changes . Defined by Federal Transit Administration guidelines . Any changes that affect more than 25% of a route's hours or miles . Require a public hearing . Includes one of the routes recommended today for changes (Route 880) I' Q~S' eeoo' 4~ L-______ ______~______ _~__ _21__ 1l.anch>u.fNldo.l 45 Ranch - University City via 50rrento Valley - Fully subsidized by 45 Ranch - Average 6 passengers/trip - Proposed Changes: . Re-route to serve downtown instead of 50rrento Valley and University City . Reduce from three round trips to two ~ (S(8@ "~R-.ndl RJ"Cho ~.nr. fo -- ""'"5:;- MlF,,"",", - ,-. I ~TS' ~ - -------- - - . -.;:m..,.. C". M_.... :...-. .~ ""- \.. """-".~. \; . ,:,':i~ , \, jJ un,:!!~>lY "=.... - 11 AI No.2 5 J 12/10/09 Title VI Analysis . One route with major service change (Route 880): proposed changes could impact low-income and minority (L1M) populations more than non-L1M populations. . L1M impact is to Mira Mesa and UTC areas, also bridged by Route 921; actual riders are from non-L1M tracts. . This change would have less impact on L1M communities than the readily possible alternatives. . Complete Title VI analysis included within agenda packet. : Q"TS' eeoe I ~//J1~ I - - - - - -- --- - -- -- - - LEGEND r ~ edE.cpressRoule Percentage of Population Either Low-lncome or MInority D<25% ......., D25'llo_51B11i.Tr.ldS ... 051.8'%-751lo LN ,... _>'5% =!WIDAG uS-"-~ '- --- -- ~-~- -~ -~- -- _ TITLE VIANA LYSIS.Proposed RO:,Jle --.- I ~_.- I i~.'... _ 45 Ranch. Rancho Bernardo. u"' I ....,.... '""""" ... n~::.:~~",:, "",.,.. <']'; . .1. .;;P;: "'"'5::..... ;;n... ~. SorrentoValley-UTC _. ..._ _.__...._. .._._ 12 AI No.2 5 1 12/10/09 Percentage ot Populallon Either l.ow.lncome or Minority .C]<25'Jl. Nofl.L1M ~ D2S'4.S18'lOTrod$ A DS1.8%-lS%TI~lS _>15% -..&.W:Mc; (1.$ e..-I:'l>l>:lI - -\ it!!J LEGE NO P'roposed(xpressRoute .... Q a~ H ~.. <:I F_~CUo .~"'...tt_ "~ Recommendations . Conduct a public hearing on recommended service adjustments to achieve at least $7.0 million in subsidy savings (as described in Attachment A) . Adopt Resolution 09-27, "Findings in Support of Exemption Under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Related to Proposed Budget- Related Service Adjustments" (Attachment C) . Respond to suggestions made by the public and take action (if any) on the package of service adjustments at the next regularly scheduled Board meeting on January 7,2010 I , i Q~S' eeool , .~I;:I I ~--- --- ---~-------- 13 AI No. 25, 12/10/09 14