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HomeMy WebLinkAboutHydrologic and Hydraulic Analysis for the Bonita Glen Creek Memorandum TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM: Hydrologic & Hydraulic Analysis for Bonita Glen Creek Prepared For: Silvergate Development Prepared by: Luis Parra, PhD, CPSWQ, ToR, D.WRE. R.C.E. 66377 REC Consultants 2442 Second Avenue San Diego, CA 92101 Telephone: (619) 232-9200 TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM TO: Silvergate Development FROM: Luis Parra, PhD, PE, CPSWQ, ToR, D.WRE. David Edwards, PE. DATE: January 25, 2018. Revised: June 20, 2018. RE: Hydrologic and Hydraulic Analysis for Bonita Glen Creek INTRODUCTION This memorandum summarizes the approach used to model the hydrologic and hydraulics of the creek located within the proposed residential use site in the City of Chula Vista. The purpose of this study is determine the proposed creeks flow capacity using standard 2, 10 and 100-year standard 6-hour design storm events. Hydrology calculations were performed using methodology outlined within the 2003 San Diego County Hydrology Manual with additional input data obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the United States Geological Service (USGS) StreamStats website for rainfall precipitation and watershed tributary data respectively. PROJECT SUMMARY The Bonita Glen project site consists of a proposed residential use site that is bifurcated by an existing natural stream. In developed conditions, the creek is to remain in a natural state with graded embankments to the east and west of the delineated existing creek while leaving the creek in its natural existing condition. HYDROLOGY ANALYSIS Per the USGS Streamstats analysis undertaken for the project site (see Appendix 1), the existing creek has a tributary area of approximately 53 Acres comprising of predominantly developed residential areas. The Streamstats identified the tributary area as having an impervious percentage of 38.1% and an overland flow length of approximately 1 mile. Per the County of San Diego Hydrology Manual (SDHM), as the tributary area is less than 1 square mile, the modified rational method was to be used to determine the peak flow for the channel. Runoff Coefficient Determination Using the following equation from section 3.1.2 of the San Diego County Hydrology Manual: ( ) ( ) Where Cp is the pervious coefficient runoff coefficient for the natural hydrologic soil class, in this case hydrologic soil class D, Cp = 0.35. The overall weighted runoff coefficient for the tributary area is 0.56. Bonita Glen Creek January 25, 2018. Revised: June 20, 2018. Time of Concentration Per the USGS Streamstats analysis, the watershed tributary to the creek has an overland flow length of 1 mile with a discharge elevation of approximately 60 ft and an upstream starting elevation of 160 ft. It was determined that an overland flow time of 25 minutes was representative of the tributary area , according to the Kirpich Nomograph, figure 3-4, San Diego County Hydrology Manual (see Appendix 1). Precipitation The project site was located on the USGS NOAA 14 Atlas website to determine the rainfall precipitation. Table 1 below illustrates the precipitation for the 15, 25 and 30 minute intervals. It should be noted that the 25 minute interval is not provided by NOAA and was interpolated from their data set (see Appendix 1 for additional calculations). Table 1 – NOAA 14 Precipitations Design Storm 15 Minute (inches) 25 Minute (inches) 30 Minute (inches) 2-Year 0.240 0.307 0.335 10-Year 0.362 0.462 0.504 100-Year 0.563 0.720 0.786 Given that intensity is a function of precipitation and time, we can determine the following relationship: ( ) ( ) The rainfall intensities were then calculated accordingly in Table 2 below. Table 2 – NOAA 14 Rainfall Intensities Design Storm 15 Minute (in/hour) 25 Minute (in/hour) 30 Minute (in/hour) 2-Year 0.96 0.74 0.67 10-Year 1.45 1.11 1.01 100-Year 2.25 1.73 1.57 Using the rational method equation: Where C is the runoff coefficient, I is the rainfall intensity (assuming a 25 minute time of concentration) and A is the tributary area (about 53 acres), the flows tributary to the creek are provided in Table 3. Table 3 – Rational Method Peak Flow Time of Concentration 2-Year 10-Year 100-Year 25 Minutes 21.9 cfs 32.9 cfs 51.3 cfs Bonita Glen Creek January 25, 2018. Revised: June 20, 2018. Comparison with Chula Vista Drainage Master Plan Q100. The 100 year peak flow (51 cfs) is 77% of the value determined by the City of Chula Vista Master Plan Q100 (66 cfs). The difference can be attributed to the difference in intensity: For small Tc, NOAA updated intensity values are smaller than the recommended Hydrology Manual of the San Diego, which are based on the intensity equation. For example, in this project, the 6 hr – 100 yr rainfall event is about 2.65 inches, which determines an intensity of 2.47 in/hr for a time of concentration of 25 min. This intensity is 43% higher than NOAA’s (or in other words, NOAA’s intensity in the location for Tc = 25 min is 70% of the old intensities by the County Manual). Therefore, NOAA intensity in itself explains the difference in the peak. Notice that the use of County’s intensity in our model will give us a peak flow even larger than 66 cfs (Q= 0.56·2.47·53 = 73 cfs) which means that the selection of C in this study is more conservative than in the Master Drainage Study. The author of this study believes that NOAA’s new intensities are more accurate and precise than maps prepared in the 90’s by the County as more data and a better statistical analysis was used by NOAA in their web-site analysis. As a consequence, the peak flow of 51 cfs (and all other peak flows) will be considered more adequate for the purposes of this analysis. HYDRAULIC ANALYSIS In order to assess the conveyance capacity of the creek, a normal depth analysis was to be taken at the most hydraulically limited section throughout the reach of the project site. It was determined that the most conservative analysis location was at the southernmost structure adjacent to Bonita Glen Road. A detail of the section is provided below in Exhibit 1. Exhibit 1 – Critical Creek Section Bonita Glen Creek January 25, 2018. Revised: June 20, 2018. Per the topographic information available, it was calculated that the creek at this location has a channel slope of approximately 3.3%. A manning’s roughness coefficient of 0.04 was selected to represent the natural light grass vegetation plus sandy bottom found within the current creek. The creek has a flow line invert of 58.4 ft and a top of bank elevation of 59.9 ft providing a maximum channel conveyance depth of 1.5 ft. A normal depth analysis for the section was undertaken with AutoDesk AutoCAD Hydraflow, the result of which is summarized below in Table 4 and is provided in detail in Appendix B of this report. Table 4 – Summary of Creek Flow Depth Analysis Location 2-Year 10-Year 100-Year Maximum Flow Depth Allowable Southern Parking Lot 1.14 ft 1.32 ft 1.62 ft 1.50 ft Per the previous environmental assessment of the creek prepared by Dudek (and also confirmed by Lisa Honma of the RWQCB in a site visit on June 21, 2017) it was determined that a typical flow width of about 1.5 ft exits, and an additional buffer of 10 ft was recommended (for a total width of 11.5 ft to be maintained out of reach from development). Table 5 below illustrates the flow width experienced by the creek section selected for the design storms analyzed within this study. Table 5 – Summary of Creek Flow Width Analysis Location 2-Year 10-Year 100-Year Maximum Flow Width Allowable Southern Parking Lot 8.63 ft 9.81 ft 15.61 ft 11.5 ft Bonita Glen Creek January 25, 2018. Revised: June 20, 2018. SUMMARY This study has demonstrated that the proposed creek within the Bonita Glen project can safely convey the 2 and 10-year design peak flow without overtopping or exceeding the allowed width buffer, which demonstrated that the delineation of the creek main section using biological methods is consistent with the hydraulic calculations performed here. However, the 100-year flow is shown to be overtopping the channel section and extend beyond the buffer area, which is consistent with typical 100-year flood analysis where creeks spill out of their banks. If a floodplain determination is needed in the future within the creek, additional analysis of the system using HEC-RAS (or an equivalent 1-D hydraulic model) will be required for design purposes. KEY ASSUMPTIONS 1. Type D Soils is representative of the existing condition site. ATTACHMENTS 1. Hydrologic Analysis (USGS Streamstats, NOAA 14 Precipitation) 2. Hydraulic Analysis (Hydraflow Normal Depth) REFERENCES [1] – “County of San Diego Hydrology Manual”, June 2003. Bonita Glen Creek  January 25, 2018                  APPENDIX 1 – RATIONAL METHOD ANALYSIS     1/24/2018 Pr ecipitation Frequency Data Server https://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/pfds_printpage.htm l?lat=32.6428&lon=­117.0612&data=depth&units=english&series=pds 1/4 NOAA Atl as 14, Volume 6, Version 2  Location name: Chula Vista, California, USA*  Latitude: 32.6428°, Longitude: ­117.0612°  Elevation: 170.95 ft** * so urce : ESRI Maps  ** sou rce: USGS POI NT PRECIPI TATION FREQUENCY  E STI MATE S San ja Perica, Sarah  Die tz, Sara h Heim, Lillian Hiner, Ka zun gu Maita ria, Deb ora h Ma rtin , Sa ndra Pavlo vic, Isha ni Roy, Carl Tryp aluk, Da le Unru h, Fenglin Yan, Mich ael Yekta, Tan Zha o, Geoffrey Bonn in, Dan iel Brewer, L i­Ch uan  Che n, Tye Parzybo k, Jo hn Yarchoa n NOAA, Natio nal Weathe r Se rvice, Silver Spring, Marylan d PF_tabular | PF_graphic al | Maps_&_aerials PF tabular PDS­based point precipitation frequency estimates with 90% confidence intervals (in inches)1 Duration Average recurrence interval  (years) 1 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 500 1000 5­min 0.110 (0.092‑0.133) 0.139 (0.116‑0.168) 0.177 (0.147‑0.214) 0.209 (0.172‑0.255) 0.253 (0.202‑0.320) 0.288 (0.225‑0.373) 0.325 (0.247‑0.431) 0.364 (0.269‑0.497) 0.417 (0.296‑0.595) 0.460 (0.314‑0.680) 10­m in 0.158 (0.132‑0.191) 0.199 (0.166‑0.240) 0.253 (0.211‑0.307) 0.299 (0.247‑0.366) 0.363 (0.290‑0.459) 0.413 (0.323‑0.535) 0.466 (0.355‑0.618) 0.521 (0.385‑0.712) 0.598 (0.424‑0.853) 0.659 (0.451‑0.974) 15­m in 0.191 (0.160‑0.231) 0.240 (0.201‑0.291) 0.306 (0.255‑0.372) 0.362 (0.299‑0.442) 0.439 (0.350‑0.556) 0.500 (0.390‑0.647) 0.563 (0.429‑0.747) 0.630 (0.466‑0.861) 0.723 (0.512‑1.03) 0.797 (0.545‑1.18) 30­m in 0.267 (0.223‑0.322) 0.335 (0.280‑0.405) 0.428 (0.356‑0.518) 0.504 (0.417‑0.617) 0.612 (0.488‑0.775) 0.697 (0.544‑0.902) 0.786 (0.598‑1.04) 0.879 (0.650‑1.20) 1.01 (0.715‑1.44) 1.11 (0.760‑1.64) 60­m in 0.372 (0.311‑0.449) 0.467 (0.390‑0.565) 0.596 (0.496‑0.722) 0.703 (0.581‑0.859) 0.853 (0.680‑1.08) 0.971 (0.758‑1.26) 1.10 (0.833‑1.45) 1.23 (0.906‑1.67) 1.41 (0.996‑2.00) 1.55 (1.06‑2.29) 2­hr 0.514 (0.430‑0.621) 0.646 (0.540‑0.782) 0.821 (0.684‑0.995) 0.963 (0.796‑1.18) 1.16 (0.924‑1.47) 1.31 (1.02‑1.69) 1.46 (1.11‑1.94) 1.62 (1.20‑2.21) 1.84 (1.30‑2.62) 2.01 (1.37‑2.96) 3­hr 0.620 (0.519‑0.749) 0.781 (0.652‑0.944) 0.990 (0.825‑1.20) 1.16 (0.959‑1.42) 1.39 (1.11‑1.76) 1.57 (1.23‑2.03) 1.75 (1.33‑2.32) 1.94 (1.43‑2.65) 2.19 (1.55‑3.12) 2.38 (1.63‑3.52) 6­hr 0.809 (0.677‑0.977) 1.02 (0.853‑1.24) 1.30 (1.08‑1.57) 1.52 (1.26‑1.86) 1.82 (1.46‑2.31) 2.06 (1.61‑2.66) 2.29 (1.74‑3.04) 2.53 (1.87‑3.46) 2.86 (2.02‑4.07) 3.11 (2.12‑4.59) 12­hr 1.05 (0.880‑1.27) 1.33 (1.11‑1.61) 1.70 (1.41‑2.06) 2.00 (1.65‑2.44) 2.41 (1.93‑3.05) 2.73 (2.13‑3.54) 3.06 (2.33‑4.06) 3.41 (2.52‑4.65) 3.87 (2.74‑5.52) 4.24 (2.90‑6.27) 24­hr 1.30 (1.14‑1.51) 1.65 (1.44‑1.92) 2.12 (1.85‑2.48) 2.51 (2.17‑2.96) 3.06 (2.57‑3.71) 3.49 (2.88‑4.31) 3.93 (3.17‑4.97) 4.40 (3.46‑5.71) 5.06 (3.83‑6.81) 5.58 (4.10‑7.75) 2­day 1.60 (1.40‑1.86) 2.06 (1.80‑2.40) 2.67 (2.33‑3.13) 3.18 (2.76‑3.75) 3.88 (3.26‑4.71) 4.43 (3.65‑5.48) 4.99 (4.03‑6.31) 5.58 (4.39‑7.23) 6.38 (4.84‑8.60) 7.02 (5.16‑9.75) 3­day 1.79 (1.57‑2.09) 2.33 (2.04‑2.72) 3.05 (2.66‑3.57) 3.64 (3.15‑4.29) 4.44 (3.74‑5.39) 5.07 (4.18‑6.26) 5.70 (4.60‑7.21) 6.36 (5.00‑8.24) 7.26 (5.50‑9.77) 7.96 (5.85‑11.1) 4­day 1.94 (1.70‑2.26) 2.54 (2.22‑2.96) 3.33 (2.91‑3.90) 3.98 (3.45‑4.69) 4.86 (4.09‑5.90) 5.54 (4.57‑6.85) 6.24 (5.03‑7.88) 6.95 (5.47‑9.01) 7.92 (6.01‑10.7) 8.68 (6.38‑12.1) 7­day 2.25 (1.97‑2.62) 2.95 (2.58‑3.44) 3.88 (3.39‑4.54) 4.64 (4.02‑5.46) 5.67 (4.77‑6.89) 6.47 (5.34‑8.01) 7.29 (5.88‑9.21) 8.13 (6.40‑10.5) 9.27 (7.02‑12.5) 10.2 (7.46‑14.1) 10­day 2.47 (2.16‑2.88) 3.25 (2.84‑3.79) 4.27 (3.73‑5.00) 5.11 (4.43‑6.02) 6.25 (5.26‑7.59) 7.13 (5.88‑8.82) 8.02 (6.48‑10.1) 8.94 (7.04‑11.6) 10.2 (7.73‑13.7) 11.2 (8.20‑15.5) 20­day 2.99 (2.62‑3.48) 3.96 (3.46‑4.61) 5.22 (4.55‑6.10) 6.24 (5.41‑7.35) 7.62 (6.41‑9.24) 8.67 (7.15‑10.7) 9.73 (7.85‑12.3) 10.8 (8.50‑14.0) 12.2 (9.28‑16.5) 13.4 (9.81‑18.6) 30­day 3.55 (3.11‑4.14) 4.71 (4.12‑5.50) 6.22 (5.43‑7.27) 7.42 (6.43‑8.74) 9.03 (7.60‑11.0) 10.2 (8.46‑12.7) 11.5 (9.25‑14.5) 12.7 (9.99‑16.5) 14.3 (10.8‑19.3) 15.5 (11.4‑21.6) 45­day 4.17 (3.65‑4.86) 5.53 (4.84‑6.45) 7.27 (6.34‑8.50) 8.65 (7.49‑10.2) 10.5 (8.80‑12.7) 11.8 (9.76‑14.6) 13.2 (10.6‑16.6) 14.5 (11.4‑18.8) 16.3 (12.3‑21.9) 17.6 (12.9‑24.4) 60­day 4.84 (4.24‑5.64) 6.40 (5.60‑7.47) 8.37 (7.31‑9.79) 9.92 (8.59‑11.7) 11.9 (10.0‑14.5) 13.4 (11.1‑16.6) 14.9 (12.0‑18.8) 16.3 (12.8‑21.2) 18.2 (13.8‑24.5) 19.6 (14.4‑27.2) 1/24/2018 Pr ecipitation Frequency Data Server https://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/pfds_printpage.htm l?lat=32.6428&lon=­117.0612&data=depth&units=english&series=pds 2/4 1 Precipitation frequenc y  (PF) estimates  in this  table are based on frequency analysis  of partial duration s eries (PDS). Numbers  in parenthesis  are PF estimates at lower and upper bounds  of the 90% c onfidence interval. The probability  that precipitation frequenc y es timates  (for a given duration and average rec urrence interval) will be greater than the upper bound (or less  than the lower bound) is 5%. Estimates at upper bounds are not c hec ked agains t probable maximum precipitation (PMP) es timates  and may be higher than c urrently  valid PMP v alues. Pleas e refer to NOAA Atlas  14 doc ument for more information. Back to Top PF graphical cur ve plots   Back to Top Maps & aerials S mal l scal e terrain + – 3km 2mi 1/24/2018 Pr ecipitation Frequency Data Server https://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/pfds_printpage.htm l?lat=32.6428&lon=­117.0612&data=depth&units=english&series=pds 3/4 Large scal e terrain Large scale map Large scal e aeri al Back to Top E rror 500: I nternal Server E rror. P lease t ry anot her location. + – 100km 60mi + – 100km 60mi + – 100km 60mi NOAA Values Interpretation 2‐Year 10‐Year 100‐Year 15 0.24 0.362 0.563 25 0.307 0.462 0.720 30 0.335 0.504 0.786 y = 0.065217x0.481126 R² = 1.000000 y = 0.099358x0.477434 R² = 1.000000 y = 0.152878x0.481394 R² = 1.000000 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0 10203040 Series1 Series2 Series3 Power (Series1) Power (Series2) Power (Series3) Bonita Glen Creek  January 25, 2018                  APPENDIX 2 – HYDRAULIC ANALYSIS  Channel Report Hydraflow Express Extension for Autodesk® AutoCAD® Civil 3D® by Autodesk, Inc. Thursday, Jan 25 2018 <Name> User-defined Invert Elev (ft) = 58.40 Slope (%) = 3.30 N-Value = 0.040 Calculations Compute by: Known Q Known Q (cfs) = 21.90 (Sta, El, n)-(Sta, El, n)... ( 0.00, 59.90)-(4.40, 59.90, 0.040)-(9.50, 58.40, 0.040)-(14.50, 59.60, 0.040)-(18.20, 61.00, 0.040) Highlighted Depth (ft) = 1.14 Q (cfs) = 21.90 Area (sqft) = 4.92 Velocity (ft/s) = 4.45 Wetted Perim (ft) = 8.93 Crit Depth, Yc (ft) = 1.16 Top Width (ft) = 8.63 EGL (ft) = 1.45 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Elev (ft)Depth (ft)Section 57.00 -1.40 58.00 -0.40 59.00 0.60 60.00 1.60 61.00 2.60 62.00 3.60 Sta (ft) Channel Report Hydraflow Express Extension for Autodesk® AutoCAD® Civil 3D® by Autodesk, Inc. Thursday, Jan 25 2018 <Name> User-defined Invert Elev (ft) = 58.40 Slope (%) = 3.30 N-Value = 0.040 Calculations Compute by: Known Q Known Q (cfs) = 32.90 (Sta, El, n)-(Sta, El, n)... ( 0.00, 59.90)-(4.40, 59.90, 0.040)-(9.50, 58.40, 0.040)-(14.50, 59.60, 0.040)-(18.20, 61.00, 0.040) Highlighted Depth (ft) = 1.32 Q (cfs) = 32.90 Area (sqft) = 6.58 Velocity (ft/s) = 5.00 Wetted Perim (ft) = 10.16 Crit Depth, Yc (ft) = 1.36 Top Width (ft) = 9.81 EGL (ft) = 1.71 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Elev (ft)Depth (ft)Section 57.00 -1.40 58.00 -0.40 59.00 0.60 60.00 1.60 61.00 2.60 62.00 3.60 Sta (ft) Channel Report Hydraflow Express Extension for Autodesk® AutoCAD® Civil 3D® by Autodesk, Inc. Thursday, Jan 25 2018 <Name> User-defined Invert Elev (ft) = 58.40 Slope (%) = 3.30 N-Value = 0.040 Calculations Compute by: Known Q Known Q (cfs) = 51.30 (Sta, El, n)-(Sta, El, n)... ( 0.00, 59.90)-(4.40, 59.90, 0.040)-(9.50, 58.40, 0.040)-(14.50, 59.60, 0.040)-(18.20, 61.00, 0.040) Highlighted Depth (ft) = 1.62 Q (cfs) = 51.30 Area (sqft) = 10.30 Velocity (ft/s) = 4.98 Wetted Perim (ft) = 16.04 Crit Depth, Yc (ft) = 1.66 Top Width (ft) = 15.61 EGL (ft) = 2.01 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Elev (ft)Depth (ft)Section 57.00 -1.40 58.00 -0.40 59.00 0.60 60.00 1.60 61.00 2.60 62.00 3.60 Sta (ft)